Nikki Haley is positioning herself to become a leading Republican alternative to President Trump. At a recent campaign event in South Carolina, she was asked about what led up to the American Civil War.
She provided a lengthy response that did not mention slavery; rather, she saw it as both politically and morally misguided.
What is the poll?
New Hampshire primary poll results reveal Nikki Haley as being close to Donald Trump in support, according to American Research Group Inc. Nikki was given 29% support while Trump came in close at 33% support; former South Carolina governor Nikki Haley garnered 29% and former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie had 13%. Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis and entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy came in with 6 and 5% respectively.
This new poll comes just a day after another from Saint Anselm College New Hampshire Institute of Politics found that Haley had doubled her support since September in New Hampshire – seemingly cementing her place as an alternative choice among conservative voters. Trump quickly responded to this news, calling Haley an insulting term on Truth Social before telling rightwing radio host Hugh Hewitt he wasn’t concerned by her ascent.
Haley had an impressive showing in New Hampshire, yet it remains to be seen if she can keep it going during the remainder of primary season and more moderate states like Iowa and South Carolina. DeSantis currently leads Haley in Iowa’s caucuses scheduled for Jan 15 and Haley remains unlikely to secure the Republican nomination overall.
What is the margin of error?
The margin of error measures how closely poll results reflect reality. It can be calculated by taking the square root of a confidence level that tests at 90% or 95%; here, 2.5 percent was the margin of error.
Nikki Haley has made significant strides toward her campaign for President of the United States of America in New Hampshire’s first-in-nation primary, narrowing the gap with Donald Trump to only four points behind according to an American Research Group poll.
Haley has made remarkable gains despite initially being widely dismissed as a long-shot candidate when she entered the race. This rise is partly fueled by strong performances in debates, as well as Governor Chris Sununu’s endorsement, who has invested considerable resources into amplifying her message throughout New Hampshire.
What is the skew?
Skew can always play a factor in polling results, especially when polls focus on small groups such as voters who identify or lean Republican or have cast ballots in past GOP primaries. For instance, many polls only include people who identify or lean Republican as poll respondents.
That is a lot of people to leave out of your sample, and their opinions could differ significantly from the rest of the population. It could be, for instance, that more women or minorities or people with less education hold negative views of Donald Trump than others.
However, other factors are also at work here. Haley recently received support from New Hampshire Governor Chris Sununu, which could amplify her message further. Furthermore, Haley may attract disenchanted conservatives who are turned off by President Donald Trump and his policies; these individuals could choose Haley over other candidates such as Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis or former New Jersey Governor Chris Christie.
What is the margin of victory Nikki Haley?
New poll results released by American Research Group show former US Ambassador Nikki Haley closing in on frontrunner Donald Trump in New Hampshire, closing the gap by four points with less than one month until voting day (January 23).
Haley has experienced steady gains since garnering support from New Hampshire Gov. Chris Sununu and major Republican donors; her support in New Hampshire has doubled since a Saint Anselm College Survey Center poll in September.
Many polls that focus on the Republican race focus solely on people who identify as Republicans or have participated in Republican primaries; Haley has done better in polls that include self-identified independents and Democrats.
